Up for Grabs

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A little evidence that the God Gap has increased since Sarah Palin’s nomination comes from the latest SUSA poll of Washington State. Compared to SUSA’s last Washington State poll of a month ago, the gap among regular attenders has increased by three points, from 59-36 for McCain to 61-35. Among those who almost never attend, Obama’s margin has grown very slightly, from 62-32 to 63-32. But the biggest shift has come among the occasional attenders, among whom Obama’s margin has dropped from 57-39 to 49-41. As I noted a few days ago, that’s the group that’s in play, and if the addition of Palin to the ticket enables McCain to round up a significant number of them, Obama’s in trouble. In Washington State, SUSA shows McCain gaining only two percent of them, while the undecides have doubled from two percent to four percent and those supporting other candidates have doubled from three percent to six percent. They’re up for grabs.