How does Trump attract religious conservatives? Here’s one possibility

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Photo by Matthew Lepke via Flickr creative commons https://www.flickr.com/photos/danwaugh/140424338/.

Photo by Matthew Lepke via Flickr creative commons https://www.flickr.com/photos/danwaugh/140424338/.

Guest post by Ryan Burge

Donald Trump is close to being the de facto Republican nominee for President. His coalition unexpectedly includes many religious conservatives. How is this possible?

Photo by Matthew Lepke via Flickr creative commons https://www.flickr.com/photos/danwaugh/140424338/.

Photo by Matthew Lepke via Flickr creative commons https://www.flickr.com/photos/danwaugh/140424338/.

Just recently a number of political scientists have proposed that Trump may be activating so-called “authoritarians.” These authoritarians are a large segment of the population who share a personality trait. Authoritarians seek strong, powerful leadership and fear many types of minorities.

According to this theory, Trump has been masterful act activating this personality trait by continuing to talk about the threat of illegal immigration and ISIS attacks inside the United States. As political scientist Jonathan Haidt has written, authoritarians become active when threatened:

when [authoritarians] perceive that the moral order is falling apart, the country is losing its coherence and cohesiveness, diversity is rising, and our leadership seems (to them) to be suspect or not up to the needs of the hour, its as though a button is pushed on their forehead that says “in case of moral threat, lock down the borders, kick out those who are different, and punish those who are morally deviant.”

In recent polling, authoritarianism has been the most predictive factor in supporting Donald Trump. 

Could authoritarianism be a reason why some religious conservatives are supporting Donald Trump, a candidate whom they would normally find far less than ideal?

Authoritarianism plays a part in religious life. The Religious Right was a movement that was synonymous with strong, unquestioned leadership. Men like Jerry Falwell, James Dobson, and Pat Robertson were the singular authorities on matters of scriptural interpretation and politics during the height of their power. Trump’s circle of clergy include fundamentalists who value strong leadership in churches and in politics.

In my own research, I’ve found some interesting connections between religious beliefs and authoritarianism. I sent a survey out to clergy in several established denominations, and asked them how much they agreed with a number of statements regarding how religious congregations should be structured and led.

  • The more clergy can step out of the way of the congregation the better
  • It is important for the congregation to construct their own salvation
  • The Gospel is what the congregation makes of it
  • I believe there are many valid interpretations of the Bible
  • The church must adapt to a postmodern culture in order to spread the Gospel.

In addition, I asked clergy a battery of questions to gauge their overall religious conservatism. This conservatism measure is based on how much they agreed or disagreed to theological statements:

  • Jesus was born of a virgin
  • The Devil actually exists
  • The Bible is literally true
  • There is an objective standard of right and wrong established by God’s Word
  • Men are given authority over women.

Both scales run from 1-5 with higher levels indicating more trust in religious authority or being more religiously conservative. See the geek note below for more details.

This graphic is not offered for republication.

This graphic is not offered for republication.

It’s clear that there is a positive relationship between trust in religious authority and being conservative on theology. Those at the “liberal” end of beliefs averaged about two on the authority scale; those with the most “conservative” beliefs were near a four. 

This initial look at the data indicates that while many pastors are religiously conservative, there is a greater deal of variation in the area of religious authority. Some pastors believe that they should be the singular voice of interpretation, and others believe that the process should be more collaborative. However, do pastors who believe that they stand as the ultimate authority in their congregation allow for things like discussion and dissent to take place in their congregations?

It turns out that those who are higher on the religious authority scale are also more supportive for authoritarianism in politics. Even after I take into account their political positions and other factors, clergy who are more authoritarian in how they run their congregations are often less supportive of foundational values that are important for a properly functioning democratic society.

I’ll have the details on this link between religious and political authoritarianism in my next post.

Ryan Burge @ryanburge researches religion and politics. He is currently studying the politics of the emerging church movement.

Geek Appendix

The survey was drawn from the Southern Baptist Convention, the United Methodist Church, the Reformed Church in America, the Presbyterian Church (USA), and clergy from the Greek Orthodox Church.

Religious conservatism: An averaged index composed of 5 questions. Each is coded from 1=strongly disagree to 5=strongly agree (except for the fifth, which is reverse coded), Cronbach’s alpha =.92. The items include: “Jesus was born of a virgin;” “The Devil actually exists;” “The Bible is literally true;” “There is an objective standard of right and wrong established by God’s Word;” “Men are given authority over women.”

Religious authority: An averaged index composed of 5 questions. Response items ranged from strongly disagree to strongly agree, the index was coded to run from 1 to 5 (α=.66). The items include: “The more clergy can step out of the way of the congregation the better;”  “It is important for the congregation to construct their own salvation;”  “The Gospel is what the congregation makes of it;” “I believe there are many valid interpretations of the Bible;” and “The church must adapt to a postmodern culture in order to spread the Gospel.”

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  • Ben in Oakland

    “Could authoritarianism be a reason why some religious conservatives are supporting Donald Trump, a candidate whom they would normally find far less than ideal? ”

    Ya think?

    My experience is that most people who describe themselves as religious conservatives are dominionists, authoritarians, and frequently, religious bigots who use their particular and peculiar version of god to justify whatever egregious harm they wish on people who are not like them.

    As a gay man, I have experienced this my whole life. Gay is a sin that scares the hell out of them. Consequently, you get sodomy laws, bogus whining about equally bogus religious freedom, political campaigns based upon lies in order to control those people they disapprove of, imaginary threats– like my marriage– which must be put down.

    And because its religion, you can also add the homosexual-hating-homosexuals to the mix– desperate to control ME as a means of controlling themselves.

    There is nothing new here.

  • Sabelotodo2

    This is an extension of that Bill McCartney Promise-Keeper “muscular Christianity” of the 80’s where many similar evangelicals were afraid that the inroads of modern feminism was becoming too much of a threat to their fantasy of an authoritarian head-of-household they held up as their ideal.

    The Bible says nothing about how we–who hold dual citizenships in two very different kingdoms–should behave in a democratic political system. Unfortunately these folks who hold forth a strong, authoritarian Jesus in the spiritual realm, also tend to gravitate to forceful, tough-talking authoritarians in the political realm. For many decades now we have lots of sad experience of how things turn out when a strong-man authoritarian gets into power. Constitutions and democratic principles get trampled, and they are very difficult to remove from power!

  • yoh

    For years Evangelical churches with a political bent have been pushing the same message Trump is pushing:
    -Civil liberties are really only for the “right kind of people”
    -Bigotry and discrimination is one’s right.
    -Democracy is inconvenient to more important considerations (God’s will, American greatness…)
    -The rich are to be glorified while the poor must be demonized.

    What is galling people like Cruz, Rubio and their supporters is that an upstart who has no regard for the established conservative political/religious system is using the same rhetoric and slogans to better effect. There is no qualitative difference in positions among any of the Republican candidates. There is certainly none among the anti-trump conservatives. Its more of a matter of who are the beholden

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